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Get Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Espanita
MEDIUM Advised 13/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Espanita (SR 82, 13/8) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 7 points above the next-best Berlinetta (SR 75) and 12 above Egotistical (SR 70). The form string 616312 shows a progressive 3-year-old finishing second last time out, running at the same class with a MarkMv:+3 that is manageable for a horse of this SR. Crucially, both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm suitability for 7f on good ground at Newcastle AW, and trainer Charlie Johnston at 13% strike rate with Connor Beasley (13%, 1684 career runners) is a solid, experienced pairing. The head gear (h) suggests connections are trying to sharpen focus, and the 10-day turnaround signals a yard confident the horse is in form. Each-way alternative: Berlinetta. Main danger: Berlinetta — Berlinetta (SR 75, 10/3) has shortened 14% in the market, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 3085 career runners) is the standout jockey booking in the race — if the GoingFit:- concern is overstated on a well-draining AW surface, this drop in class could see the horse land at a generous price.
Full result
Winner: Kody B (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kody B 12/1
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2
Espanita Fox #1 6/4
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3
Rousham 10/1
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4
Egotistical Fox #3 7/1
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5
Kilfrush Desert Fox #4 12/1
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6
Henry Halflight 66/1
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7
Berlinetta Fox #2 7/2
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8
March Ahead 28/1
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9
Record Day 18/1
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10
If I Could Dream 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Espanita 13/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Berlinetta 10/3 7TH
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3
Egotistical 6/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Kilfrush Desert 12/1 5TH