← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Just Typical
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Just Typical (SR 63, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in this Class 6 field and carries the second-lightest weight among the competitive runners at 9-8. The Course:W4P8 record at Newcastle is outstanding — no other runner in the field comes close to that course familiarity — and the MarkMv:-3 confirms he's dropped to a workable mark. Billy Loughnane (18% career strike rate, the strongest jockey booking in the field) adds further appeal, and the ClassMv:↓1 drop means this is a softer assignment than recent runs. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are not ideal but acceptable given the dominant course form and class relief. Each-way alternative: Eve's Boy. Main danger: Eve's Boy — Eve's Boy (SR 61, 5/1) has steamed in 33% in the market, carries blinkers for the first time, and the Michael Dods/Connor Beasley combination is reliable at 12-13% strike rates — the market move suggests stable confidence that this yard switch in headgear has unlocked something.
Full result
Winner: Whiskey Pete (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Whiskey Pete 10/1
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2
Falcon Nine 5/1
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3
Just Typical Fox #1 9/4
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4
Gressington Fox #4 6/1
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5
Little Ted Fox #3 11/2
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6
Eve's Boy Fox #2 4/1
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7
One More Bottle 50/1
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8
Rogue Officer 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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