← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Drumlee Myth
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Drumlee Myth (SR:86, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and represents the top of the ability range here. The GoingFit:+ is a critical differentiator — virtually every other contender shows GoingFit:- or GoingFit:~ on today's good ground, meaning the market-leader Dante's Inferno (SR:79, 11/8) has a confirmed ground concern on top of a DistFit:- flag. Drumlee Myth carries 11-12, which is top weight, but his SR:86 edge of 7 points over Dante's Inferno justifies the burden, and a course place (W0P1 at Hexham) adds confidence at this track. The MarkMv:+4 is a mild headwind but not prohibitive at this class level, and his seasonal return 48 days ago showed a '6' last time — the form string /59-16 shows a recent win, suggesting he retains ability. Each-way alternative: Knockeranna Rose. Main danger: Dante's Inferno — Dante's Inferno is the market favourite at 11/8 and carries the lightest competitive weight (10-12), giving it a 14lb advantage over Drumlee Myth — a substantial concession that could offset the SR gap if the going concern proves less significant than the data suggests.
Full result
Winner: Drumlee Myth (IRE) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Drumlee Myth Fox #1 11/4
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2
Knockeranna Rose Fox #3 6/1
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3
Order Another One 17/2
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4
Time Was 12/1
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5
Bouboule 20/1
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—
Manhatane 16/1
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—
Dante's Inferno Fox #2 11/8
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Drumlee Myth 5/2 SP 5/2 🏆 WON
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2
Dante's Inferno 11/8
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3
Knockeranna Rose 13/2 🥈 2ND