← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Jewson Hexham Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Double Digits
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Double Digits (SR:117, 7/2) carries the best Saturday Rating in the field off a favourable 11-9, giving it a meaningful weight edge over top-weight Moveit Like Minnie (SR:116, 12-0) despite near-identical ability scores. The market has shortened 16% since opening — significant money arriving without an obvious public narrative — and Ann Hamilton's 19% yard strike rate is the best in the field. The recent form line of 124-22 shows consistent competitiveness at a level above today's Class 3, and there is no class-drop penalty obscuring the form (no ClassMv flag suggests stable class). The absence of distance and going data flags (DistFit:? / GoingFit:?) is a mild concern but is outweighed by the convergence of SR leadership, weight advantage, and genuine market confidence. Each-way alternative: Mr McLoughlan. Main danger: Mr McLoughlan — Mr McLoughlan (SR:116, 15/8) is the market leader having shortened 17% — the second-largest move in the field — drops two class tiers off the same winning mark (ClassMv:↓2, MarkMv:=), and Brian Hughes (19% career strike rate) is the most accomplished jockey in the race, all of which makes it the most likely horse to beat Double Digits.
Full result
Winner: Mr Mcloughlan (GB) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mr McLoughlan Fox #2 13/8
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2
Moveit Like Minnie Fox #3 10/3
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3
Two Auld Pals 14/1
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4
Winds of Winter 11/1
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5
Double Digits Fox #1 4/1
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6
Kaikoura 14/1
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7
Banderas 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Double Digits 7/2 5TH
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2
Mr McLoughlan 15/8 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Moveit Like Minnie 7/2 🥈 2ND