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Heath RUFC A-Safe Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Killybegs Jet Lady
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Killybegs Jet Lady (SR:98, 13/2) is the most compelling case when signals are weighed holistically. The 37% market-in move is the loudest single signal in this race — from 13/2 opening to current price on a 5-runner field, that is serious money arriving with purpose. She drops 3lb below her last winning mark (MarkMv:-3), carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-1 against the two top-weights at 12-0 and 11-13, and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's good ground well. Course:W0P3 at Hexham shows course familiarity, and the 2m7f63y trip — while only DistFit:~ — is close enough to her proven range that the moderate rating is not alarming. The B in her form string (brought down) accounts for the interrupted sequence; the subsequent 2-1 run before the P0 shows the ability remains when things go right. Each-way alternative: Stylish Recruit. Main danger: Stylish Recruit — Stylish Recruit (SR:102, 11/4) carries the highest SR in the field, boasts Course:W3P5 at Hexham and GoingFit:+ — the course-and-going combination is elite for this track — and despite an 8% drift and 103 days off, the last-run win (rightmost '1' in form) keeps it firmly in the hunt.
Full result
Winner: Frisky Whiskey (GB) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Frisky Whiskey Fox #3 13/8
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2
Scottish Dancer 7/2
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3
Robert d'Ores 7/1
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4
Killybegs Jet Lady Fox #1 17/2
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5
Stylish Recruit Fox #2 11/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3