← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Inkberrow
HIGH Advised 2/5 SP 2/9F Est. 62%
Mr Fox says
Inkberrow (SR 160, 2/5) is in a different class to every other runner in this field — the next-best SR is 124, a 36-point gap that is enormous on the 0-200 scale. The Crisford yard operates at a 19% strike rate from 1,138 runners, denoting a powerful and disciplined operation, while Harry Davies (13%, 1,273 runners) is a capable booking. The market has shortened 12% since opening, confirming stable confidence, and the sole prior visit to Wolverhampton produced a place, showing the horse handles the track. With all rivals carrying either badly negative distance/going fit, prohibitively weak SR, or heavy market drift, this is a straightforward assignment at a short price that is entirely justified by the data. Each-way alternative: Lahan Kingman. Main danger: Lahan Kingman — Lahan Kingman (SR 79, 4/1) is first-time blinkers, has course form (W0P1), moderate distance fit (~), a shortening market (in7%), and the Richard Hughes/Billy Loughnane combination both operating at double-digit strike rates — if Inkberrow underperforms on the AW, this is the most likely beneficiary.
Full result
Winner: Inkberrow (IRE) at SP 2/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Inkberrow Fox #1 8/15
-
2
Lahan Kingman Fox #2 3/1
-
3
Kodi Blue Fox #3 28/1
-
4
Moonlight Melody 10/1
-
5
Ventana 11/1
-
6
Vannessa 50/1
-
7
Red Melody 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3