← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race
Mr Fox’s call
Sir Les Patterson
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Sir Les Patterson (SR:99, 9/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a meaningful margin over the next cluster and holds the strongest going profile with GoingFit:+ on today's Good surface — the only runner to tick that box among the shortlist. Course form is excellent at W2P2 at Dundalk AW, and a 19-day turnaround suggests the yard has him ready to go. Stephen Thorne's yard signals him as the #1 runner ahead of stablemate Kerdos, who carries identical weight (9-12) but has drifted 18% in the market, is proven poor at 5f (DistFit:-), and sits 10 SR points below. The 9/4 market price is tight but justified given the SR superiority and going fit combination in a competitive 5f sprint. Each-way alternative: The Highway Rat. Main danger: The Highway Rat — The Highway Rat (SR:93, 4/1) has steamed in 30% in the market, boasts exceptional course form at W5P9 at Dundalk, and the MarkMv:-4 drop in mark gives handicap room — at 8 years old form consistency can be an issue, but the money and course record make him the likeliest to spoil the party.
Full result
Winner: Kerdos (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kerdos 11/1
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2
Sir Les Patterson Fox #1 5/2
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3
The Highway Rat Fox #2 4/1
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4
Chicago Call 18/1
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5
Valiant Force 12/1
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6
Eclairage 7/1
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7
Xerling 18/1
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8
Rosie Frith Fox #4 11/2
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—
Ipanema Queen Fox #3 6/1
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—
Prairie Girl 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sir Les Patterson 9/4 🥈 2ND
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2
The Highway Rat 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Ipanema Queen 8/1
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4
Rosie Frith 11/2 8TH