← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Ebf Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Hoseki
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 11/8F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Hoseki (SR 106, 7/4) is the clear ability leader in this field, carrying a manageable 9-7 and bringing a form line of -11141 — four wins from her last five starts including her most recent outing. She is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and on Good to Firm (GoingFit:+), and the market has shortened 21% from opening, confirming significant support. The step up in class (↑1) is the only flag, but William Haggas (23% strike rate, 2,079 runners) booking Saffie Osborne — a deliberate yard choice over Muscutt on stablemate Seren Star — signals this is the stable's #1 representative and connections are confident she handles the rise. Each-way alternative: Pendella. Main danger: Pendella — Pendella (SR 104, 9/4) carries the lightest weight of the serious contenders at 9-2, has a consistent 352312 form line at the same class (ClassMv:=), and a 19% market move inward suggests she is live — her GoingFit:? is the only check but she has enough pace and consistency to trouble Hoseki at a fair price.
Full result
Winner: Hoseki (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hoseki Fox #1 11/8
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2
Pendella Fox #2 9/4
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3
Light of Paris 11/1
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4
Seren Star 14/1
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5
Supplicate Fox #3 5/1
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6
Lady Dora Mae 9/1
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Black Chiffon -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hoseki 7/4 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Pendella 9/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Supplicate 9/2 5TH