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Mr Fox’s call
Captain Cairney
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Captain Cairney leads the field on SR:80, a clear 10-point advantage over the next-best Saxophonic (SR:70), and his recent form 725112 shows back-to-back wins with strong momentum. He drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) which is a positive move, and at 9-3 he carries a lighter weight than Kuredu King's 10-2 burden. Course:W1P1 confirms he handles Southwell specifically, and the 12-day turnaround from a winning run suggests connections are confident. The market drift (Mkt:out16%) is the one concern, but given the SR superiority and class drop, the market may simply be reacting to the short time between runs rather than a genuine negative signal. Each-way alternative: Saxophonic. Main danger: League of Justice — League of Justice has steamed in the market (Mkt:in21%) most aggressively of any runner and carries only 9-3 at age 3 with the same class as last time, suggesting connections expect a big run despite a form line that has not yet shown the horse's best.
Full result
Winner: Tinkety Tonk (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tinkety Tonk 9/2
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2
League of Justice Fox #3 6/1
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3
Saxophonic Fox #2 2/1
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4
Captain Cairney Fox #1 9/4
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5
Kuredu King 16/1
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6
Betelgeuse 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3