← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Dontworryaboutme
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 5/6F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Dontworryaboutme heads the field on SR (158) by a clear 8 points over the next-best Maliqui (SR 150), and carries only 9-4 — a 3lb weight advantage over the 9-7 brigade which is meaningful at 7f on AW. The Charles Hills yard strikes at 14% (1,235 runners — a substantial sample), Dougie Costello is a reliable AW pilot at 10%, and the horse already has a place at this exact course (Course:W0P1), confirming Southwell suitability. The 6/4 price implies ~40% market probability which aligns with the SR dominance, and the form of 72 (finished 2nd last time) shows a progressive profile with a recent sharpening run 16 days ago. Each-way alternative: Maliqui. Main danger: Maliqui — Maliqui (SR 150, 7/1) also carries 9-4 and showed a progressive form line of 5-2, finishing second last time out, with Rob Hornby booked — a jockey striking at 12% from 2,071 rides — making this the most credible improver to upstage the favourite.
Full result
Winner: Dontworryaboutme (IRE) at SP 5/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dontworryaboutme Fox #1 11/8
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2
Fully Stocked 9/2
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3
Pippy Boy 22/1
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4
Ebt's Warrior Fox #3 14/1
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5
Notimetotakeoff 18/1
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6
Son Of Vega 7/1
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7
Penselwood 14/1
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8
Maliqui Fox #2 5/1
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9
Jaipur Prince 66/1
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10
Without Diamond 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dontworryaboutme 6/4 SP 5/6F 🏆 WON
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2
Maliqui 7/1 8TH
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3
Ebt's Warrior 7/1 🏁 4TH