← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
PWC Danoli Steeplechase (Grade 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Blood Destiny
MEDIUM Advised 6/5 Est. 48%
Mr Fox says
Blood Destiny (SR 153, 6/5) is the class-leader in this small field and ticks every meaningful box: GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on good ground, DistFit:+ confirms the 2m4f trip suits, and a same-class assignment (ClassMv:=) means no adaptation required. Crucially, Mullins/Townend is the most potent training-jockey combination in Irish jump racing — Mullins strikes at 26% over 2,931 runners, Townend at a remarkable 38% — and Townend's booking over Cian Quirke (9%) on the market leader is a decisive edge. The MarkMv:+6 is a mild concern, but the SR gap of 6 points over Fleur In The Park, combined with 4lb of weight relief (11-6 vs 11-12), means Blood Destiny receives both the ability and the weight argument. The GoingFit:? flag on the favourite Fleur In The Park is a genuine vulnerability on this going. Each-way alternative: Fleur In The Park. Main danger: Fleur In The Park — Fleur In The Park (SR 147, 6/4) carries top-weight but has the highest market confidence of the three credible runners and a DistFit:+ at this trip — if the GoingFit:? proves not to be a real obstacle, the 6lb weight concession from Blood Destiny becomes manageable given the SR gap is only 6 points.
Full result
Winner: Fleur In The Park (IRE) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fleur In The Park Fox #2 6/4
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2
Blood Destiny Fox #1 11/10
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3
Emily Love 22/1
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—
Senecia Fox #3 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Blood Destiny 6/5 🥈 2ND
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2
Fleur In The Park 6/4 SP 11/10F 🏆 WON
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3
Senecia 9/2