← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Blue Mosque
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Blue Mosque carries the highest SR in the field at 161 — a clear 4-point edge over Quantum Quest (SR 157) and 24 points over the favourite Fou De Toi (SR 137) — and does so off a favourable 11-3 against the 11-7 top-weights, a meaningful 4lb advantage. The 23% market steam since opening is the strongest inward move in this field and strongly suggests stable confidence following a layoff (156 days) that was clearly planned rather than problematic. Noel Meade's 12% strike rate is respectable in this context and Donagh Meyler has ridden the horse before. The form string '00421-' shows a chase win within the sequence and the class ceiling here appears well within reach for a horse rated 161. Each-way alternative: Quantum Quest. Main danger: Quantum Quest — Quantum Quest (SR 157) has proven distance fit (DistFit:+) and a last-time-out win on his freshest form figure, making him the class-proven stayer in the field — though his 18% drift and 119-day absence temper enthusiasm.
Full result
Winner: Fou De Toi (FR) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fou De Toi Fox #3 11/8
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2
Quantum Quest Fox #2 3/1
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3
Ma Jacks Hill 16/1
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4
No Time To Wait 33/1
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5
Blue Mosque Fox #1 11/4
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—
Killaney King 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Blue Mosque 10/3 5TH
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2
Quantum Quest 11/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Fou De Toi 11/8 SP 11/10F 🏆 WON