← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Ballynoe Boy
MEDIUM Advised 13/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Ballynoe Boy (SR 106, 13/8) is the standout on every meaningful signal. The highest SR in the field, a confirmed sequence of three consecutive wins (Form: -74111 reading right-to-left gives 1-1-1 most recently), proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and today's good going (GoingFit:+), running off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=), and carrying a manageable 11-6. Crucially, the market has shortened 29% from its opening price — the money is clearly following this horse, and at a yard (Nicky Richards, 16% strike rate) that sends horses ready. The combination of SR leadership, form peak, going/distance suitability, and strong market confidence makes this an unusually clean case. Each-way alternative: Bold Light. Main danger: Bold Light — Bold Light (SR 103, 11/2) has steamed in 25% in the market, holds strong course form (W2P2 at Kelso), and the MarkMv:-11 drop means connections believe this mark is workable — the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are the only real concerns stopping it from being the pick.
Full result
Winner: Interchangeable (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Interchangeable 28/1
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2
Evaluation 8/1
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3
Heart Above Fox #3 5/1
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4
Klitschko 6/1
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5
Dalileo 25/1
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6
Starlyte Fox #4 7/1
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7
Do No Wrong 12/1
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—
Bold Light Fox #2 11/4
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Ballynoe Boy Fox #1 13/8
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—
Kool Raoul 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ballynoe Boy 13/8
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2
Bold Light 11/2
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3
Heart Above 8/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Starlyte 12/1 6TH