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Justin & Susan Greig Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Tuppence
MEDIUM Advised 4/11 SP 8/13F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Tuppence (SR 121) stands clear of every rival on ability — a 22-point SR advantage over the next-best Brosna Town and Luna Grace (both SR 99) is a decisive gap in a four-runner novice hurdle. The market is equally emphatic: 4/11 and shortening 14% since opening reflects strong confidence from connections who also have Luna Grace in the race but have clearly subordinated the stable interest (Derek Fox, an 11% strike-rate rider, was available for Luna Grace yet the yard deployed him there rather than on Tuppence, where the conditional Mr Lucas Murphy holds the ride — a common pattern when the trainer wants the secondary runner to hunt a place, not challenge for the win). Brosna Town's MarkMv of +24 and DistFit:- make it a near-certain non-factor. Tuppence's hurdling form (Form: 8/241-) shows a recent finishing effort that merits respect in this weak class-4 novice heat. Each-way alternative: Luna Grace. Main danger: Luna Grace — Luna Grace (SR 99) has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's course (Course:W0P1), carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-8, and the consistent Form:333-33 suggests she will at minimum stay competitive if Tuppence meets any jumping difficulty on her hurdling return.
Full result
Winner: Tuppence (FR) at SP 8/13F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tuppence Fox #1 1/2
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2
Brosna Town Fox #3 5/1
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3
Luna Grace Fox #2 9/2
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Miss Arabella 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3