← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Sir Carnegie
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Sir Carnegie (SR:115, 9/4) has steamed in 29% since opening and carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-1, giving him a 13lb advantage over top-weight Golden Point and meaningful concessions to both rivals. His Course:W1P1 record at Kelso is a significant differentiator in a four-runner field where no other runner has proven course form, and his recent form string of 116513 shows consistent competitiveness at this class level with a last-run third suggesting he's in the mix. Brian Hughes on Upfordebate is the main danger, but Upfordebate is now running off a mark 6lb higher than his last win (MarkMv:+6) which is a notable concern, and GoingFit:? means the course specialist with weight in hand gets the vote. Each-way alternative: Upfordebate. Main danger: Upfordebate — Upfordebate is the market favourite at 13/8 with a 20% move in, Brian Hughes (19% strike rate, 964 career rides) is a significant booking, and his last-run win at the same class confirms current form — the +6lb mark rise is the only real concern.
Full result
Winner: Upfordebate (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Upfordebate Fox #2 11/8
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2
Sir Carnegie Fox #1 9/4
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3
Inis Oirr Fox #3 5/1
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Golden Point 9/2
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Fairlawn Skipper -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3