← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
King Cuan
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 SP 6/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
King Cuan (SR:113, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in this field alongside Loughrea (SR:114) but carries identical weight at 9-7 and is trained by P. Twomey who operates at a 24% career strike rate — the strongest training operation represented here. King Cuan's DistFit:+ at 7f and course form (W0P2 at Curragh) shows he handles this track, and while the 160-day absence is a concern, Twomey's yard is known for producing fit horses from layoffs at this level. Loughrea (SR:114, 2/1) is the danger but has drifted 10% from opening and is running off a mark 12lb higher than his last win — a significant penalty at Listed level that the market may be underweighting. King Cuan at 11/4 represents better value given the trainer's strike rate and the superior ability signal once the weight-for-age context of this Listed race is considered. Each-way alternative: Sindagan. Main danger: Loughrea — Loughrea (SR:114) is the joint top-rated horse, has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's trip and going, and a recent '2111' form string shows consistent winning form — the drift from 2/1 opening is modest and he remains the most likely alternative winner.
Full result
Winner: King Cuan (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
King Cuan Fox #1 7/2
-
2
Princess Child 11/1
-
3
Loughrea Fox #2 7/4
-
4
Lewis Carroll 20/1
-
5
Big Gossey 9/2
-
6
Wannabe Royal 20/1
-
7
Unauthorized 20/1
-
8
Dmaniac 40/1
-
9
Sindagan Fox #4 12/1
-
10
Carolina Jetstream Fox #3 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
King Cuan 11/4 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
-
2
Loughrea 2/1 🥉 3RD
-
3
Carolina Jetstream 10/1 10TH
-
4
Sindagan 12/1 9TH