← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Kilbrin Rocco
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 SP 5/2F Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Kilbrin Rocco (SR 112, 7/2) holds the clear SR advantage in this field by 7 points over the next best, and at 10-13 carries a workable weight. Jack Kennedy's booking (22% strike rate from 1221 career rides) is the most significant jockey upgrade in the race and a strong stable signal — connections don't put Kennedy on at 7/2 without intent. The form string 51-292 shows a recent second, meaning peak fitness is there, and while the DistFit:- and GoingFit:~ are mild negatives, the SR gap and jockey quality overpower those concerns. The slight market drift (out 6%) is the main reservation, but Kennedy's presence on a classically superior horse in a modest €9k handicap is the decisive factor. Each-way alternative: Stoneyford Lady. Main danger: Stoneyford Lady — Stoneyford Lady (SR 99, 4/1) is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2344 runners) with Darragh O'Keeffe in the plate (13%), carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-8, and is a well-backed second favourite — de Bromhead's runners at this price are rarely without a chance.
Full result
Winner: Kilbrin Rocco (IRE) at SP 5/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kilbrin Rocco Fox #1 10/3
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2
Stoneyford Lady Fox #2 4/1
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3
Cahirdown Boy 33/1
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4
Bythesametoken 14/1
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5
Party President 8/1
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6
Chosen Shant Fox #4 8/1
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7
Claude 5/1
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8
Ballybrittas 10/1
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9
Beauforts Storm 22/1
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—
Presenting Lad Fox #3 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kilbrin Rocco 7/2 SP 5/2F 🏆 WON
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2
Stoneyford Lady 4/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Presenting Lad 9/2
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4
Chosen Shant 9/1 6TH