← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe
Mr Fox’s call
Daryz
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 6/5 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Daryz (SR:131, 15/8) is the standout on ability in this field — the highest SR by 4 points over Kalpana — and the market has firmly endorsed that view with a 15/8 price that implies strong punter confidence. The form string 1-1131 shows two wins at the head of recent runs with only one defeat in the sequence, and F-H Graffard as a trainer is well-versed in Longchamp Group racing. The weight (9-5) is the heaviest carried among the seniors but the SR advantage is large enough to absorb that burden. GoingFit is listed as unknown (?) which is the principal caution, but good ground at Longchamp is standard Arc going and the class-up (↑4) is steep — however, no other runner combines a SR above 130 with genuine market confidence at a realistic price, making Daryz the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Maltese Cross. Main danger: Kalpana — Kalpana (SR:127, 5/1) has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on good ground, an excellent recent form string of 1-1211, and at 9-2 carries 7lb less than Daryz — a meaningful weight concession in a 2,400m Group 1 that could prove decisive if Daryz's untested going record becomes a factor.
Full result
Winner: Daryz at SP 6/5. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
- — Daryz Fox #1 SP 6/5
- — Saddadd 40/1
- — Chestnut Rocket 300/1
- — Admire Terra 80/1
- — Meisho Tabaru 40/1
- — Arrow Eagle 150/1
- — Bay City Roller 40/1
- — Minnie Hauk 25/1
- — Kalpana Fox #2 5/1
- — Friendly Soul 25/1
- — Varandir Fox #4 10/1
- — Benvenuto Cellini 16/1
- — Bright Light 150/1
- — Maltese Cross Fox #3 7/1
- — Thundering On 10/1
- — Diamond Necklace 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
- 1 Daryz 15/8 SP 6/5 🏆 WON
- 2 Kalpana 5/1
- 3 Maltese Cross 7/1
- 4 Varandir 10/1