← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Extraterrestrial
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 11/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Extraterrestrial (SR 80, 10/3) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the lightest weight among the leading contenders at 9-5, giving it a real lbs advantage over Sea Brave (SR 76, 9-9) and Sax Avoidance (SR 78, 9-8). The DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip, two places at Kempton show course familiarity, and the Simon & Ed Crisford yard operates at a 19% strike rate — strong for a Class 5 handicap. The form string 320522 shows consistent placing at this level and no blowouts; the horse is clearly running to its mark and the 10/3 price represents fair value for the field's most able runner carrying a favourable weight. Each-way alternative: Sea Brave. Main danger: Sea Brave — Sea Brave (SR 76, 2/1) has steamed in 16% in the market, Richard Hughes runs a strong 15% yard strike rate, and dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) for a 3-year-old with a placed Kempton run could see it take advantage of a relatively weak field if Extraterrestrial fails to convert its consistent placing into a win.
Full result
Winner: Extraterrestrial (IRE) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Extraterrestrial Fox #1 3/1
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2
Sax Avoidance Fox #3 5/1
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3
Impossible Mission 14/1
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4
St Hilda 12/1
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5
Fahidi Fox #4 6/1
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6
Sea Brave Fox #2 9/4
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7
Katalyst 20/1
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8
Enamorus 40/1
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9
Lucky Luna 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Extraterrestrial 10/3 SP 11/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Sea Brave 2/1 6TH
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3
Sax Avoidance 9/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Fahidi 5/1 5TH