← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Narrjoo
MEDIUM Advised 4/11 SP 1/4F Est. 62%
Mr Fox says
Narrjoo (SR 160, 4/11) is a class above this field on every meaningful signal. The SR gap is decisive — 8 points clear of Too Darn Regal (SR 152) and 12 above Beloved Country (SR 148) — and the market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming stable confidence. Despite the 4/11 price suggesting market certainty, the 1-2 form line shows genuine racecourse competence from a two-year-old trained by one of the sharper operations in Simon & Ed Crisford (19% strike rate), with Tudhope booking (18% strike) adding further professional weight. Carrying 9-11 versus the 9-4 of the main rivals is a 7lb penalty but the SR advantage comfortably absorbs this in a Class 3 novice over 1m6y. Each-way alternative: Too Darn Regal. Main danger: Too Darn Regal — Too Darn Regal (SR 152, 5/1) has steamed in 23% since opening — the most significant market move in the race — and sits just 8 SR points behind Narrjoo while carrying 7lb less, making it the only realistic danger if Narrjoo runs below par.
Full result
Winner: Narrjoo (IRE) at SP 1/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Narrjoo Fox #1 2/5
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2
Too Darn Regal Fox #2 4/1
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3
Beloved Country Fox #3 7/1
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4
Canvas Power 50/1
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5
Magwitch 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Narrjoo 4/11 SP 1/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Too Darn Regal 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Beloved Country 5/1 🥉 3RD