← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Stormy Impact
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Stormy Impact (SR 95, 4/1) is the joint SR-leader but carries the lightest weight of that group at 9-9, giving a meaningful lbs edge over Cape Ashizuri (9-11) and Sovereign Spell (9-10). Crucially, the MarkMv:-6 signals a drop of 6lb from its last winning mark — the single most favourable handicap signal in this field — and its GoingFit:+ on today's good ground is confirmed by record. At 4/1 the market prices it as a leading contender without overcorrecting, and the Fahey yard (10% strike rate, 632 runners) is a solid handler of this type. The 14-day turnaround after a Class 3 run at the same grade (ClassMv:=) suggests connections are confident it has more to give. Each-way alternative: Alpha Capture. Main danger: Alpha Capture — Alpha Capture (SR 95, 9/2) shares the joint-top SR, has steamed in 41% in the market — the second-largest positive move in the field — carries only 9-4 (the lightest weight among the SR-95 trio), and holds two placed efforts at Pontefract (Course:W0P2), making it the most credible threat to upset Stormy Impact.
Full result
Winner: Brighton Boy (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Brighton Boy Fox #4 9/2
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2
Sergeant Wilko 4/1
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3
Kosometsuke 22/1
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4
Stormy Impact Fox #1 11/2
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5
Alpha Capture Fox #2 4/1
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6
Novello Lad 12/1
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7
Bell Shot 15/2
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8
Artagnan 20/1
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9
Physique 17/2
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10
Cape Ashizuri 9/1
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Sovereign Spell Fox #3 9/1
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—
Classy Clarets -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Stormy Impact 4/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Alpha Capture 9/2 5TH
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3
Sovereign Spell 9/1
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4
Brighton Boy 11/2 SP 9/2 🏆 WON