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QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
No More Bolero
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/4 SP 10/11F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
No More Bolero (SR:112, 5/4) is the highest-rated runner in a modest four-horse Class 4 handicap and has shortened 7% in the market — meaningful money arriving on the favourite in a small field is a significant signal. The form string 3-1123 shows consistent competitiveness, with the last run a placed effort, and good-to-firm going is confirmed as suitable (GoingFit:+). The step up one class tier (ClassMv:↑1) and a mark 7lb above last win (MarkMv:+7) are the principal concerns, but James Owen's 19% strike rate from 2250 career runners is the strongest trainer record in this field, and Callum Pritchard at 14% adds competence in the conditional ranks. The weight of 11-12 is not oppressive and undercuts Juan Bermudez's crushing 12-0 by two pounds while holding a SR edge. Each-way alternative: Juan Bermudez. Main danger: Juan Bermudez — Juan Bermudez's exceptional course record (W4P6 at Stratford) is a specialist advantage that cannot be ignored, and despite the 12-0 burden and distance flag, his GoingFit:+ match and SR:111 make him the most dangerous threat if No More Bolero struggles to handle the step up in class.
Full result
Winner: No More Bolero (GB) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
No More Bolero Fox #1 6/5
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2
All Inn Hand Fox #3 7/2
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3
Juan Bermudez Fox #2 10/3
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4
Alan Bresil 5/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3