← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Two To Tango
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Two To Tango (SR:97, 6/1, 11-8) combines the most compelling multi-signal case in the field: Course:W1P2 at Stratford is a concrete course-specialist advantage on a track that rewards familiarity, the market has shortened 11% suggesting informed support, and Emma Lavelle's 18% trainer strike rate from 923 runners is the strongest yard stat in the race. The 11-8 weight is the joint-lightest among the credible contenders, giving a meaningful lbs edge over Lermoos Legend (12-2) and Quick Sharpener (12-0). The form line 13-243 shows consistent competitiveness at this class, and the recent third is a live form reference. Charlie Todd's 9% strike rate is a mild concern, but the course form, market move and Lavelle's competence override that. Each-way alternative: Another Folly. Main danger: Premier Fantasy — Premier Fantasy (SR:100, 11/4) is the SR leader and the market favourite at a price implying ~27% win probability, but DistFit:- is a genuine concern over 2m6f125y and the consistent 253222 form string suggests a horse that finds ways to finish second rather than win — nonetheless its class edge and market confidence make it the most likely alternative winner.
Full result
Winner: Melton Mossy (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Melton Mossy 17/2
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2
Two To Tango Fox #1 13/2
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3
Premier Fantasy Fox #2 3/1
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4
Another Folly Fox #4 4/1
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5
Bahtiyar 50/1
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6
Imperial Bede 16/1
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Lermoos Legend Fox #3 9/2
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Quick Sharpener 7/1
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Mr Rafiki 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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