← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Solar Swing
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/5 SP 8/13F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Solar Swing (SR:88, 6/5) is the highest-rated horse in this field aside from Wilbur, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and has steamed 15% in the market — the clearest positive signal in the race. George Boughey (18% strike rate, 1305 runners) and Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 3102 runners) form a high-quality connections pairing, both operating well above the field average. The form of 42 is slim but in a six-runner Class 4 nursery, the class drop combined with the significant market support suggests connections see this as a winnable opportunity. The 9-4 weight is also among the lightest in the field, giving no penalty burden despite the superior SR. Each-way alternative: Wilbur. Main danger: Wilbur — Wilbur (SR:91, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has course form (W0P1), and while the 83-day absence and 19% market drift are concerns, a James-Eustace-trained runner off a class drop at this mark must be respected if the layoff is nothing more than a quiet summer break.
Full result
Winner: Solar Swing (IRE) at SP 8/13F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Solar Swing Fox #1 11/10
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2
Wilbur Fox #2 10/3
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3
Bassrah 17/2
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4
Clive The Writer 22/1
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5
Out of This World Fox #3 10/1
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6
Lion of God 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3