← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Takeitorleaveit
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Takeitorleaveit (SR 70, 6/1, 9-9) is the highest-rated horse in this modest Class 6 field and drops a tier in class, which is a meaningful advantage. The 212822 form string shows consistent competitiveness including a pair of runner-up finishes, and Rob Hornby (12% strike rate, 2,077 rides) is a capable booking for Wolverhampton AW. The 14% market drift is a concern and must be acknowledged — however, in a field where every runner has DistFit:? or worse and the going/distance is largely untested across the board, SR leadership of 4+ points over the nearest rivals carries real weight. The class drop (↓1) provides a genuine competitive edge, and the MarkMv:+6 penalty is offset by still being the highest SR in the race. Each-way alternative: Caraway. Main danger: Sun Lord — Sun Lord (SR 62, 9/2) drops a class tier, has had a 70-day break that may have freshened him, and is with Fahey's yard at a price the market has not moved against — Barry McHugh's 9% strike rate is modest but the class relief and fresh legs could see him outrun his rating on the day.
Full result
Winner: Caraway (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Caraway Fox #2 7/1
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2
La Kosmos 17/2
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3
Takeitorleaveit Fox #1 6/1
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4
Goldfinder 5/1
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5
Alkaios 22/1
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6
Electric Gambler 12/1
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7
Sun Lord Fox #3 7/1
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8
Electrical 8/1
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9
Mmmbop 7/2
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10
Tinsel Fox #4 9/1
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11
Eze Sur Mer 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Takeitorleaveit 6/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Caraway 11/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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3
Sun Lord 9/2 7TH
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4
Tinsel 9/1 10TH