← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Evening Call
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Evening Call (SR 156, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying a 4-point SR advantage over next-best Moontune (SR 152) and a 17-point gap on the debutants. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) into a Class 4 novice is a significant ease in opposition, and William Haggas (23% strike rate across 2092 runners) is a trainer whose horses rarely drop in class without a purpose. The blinkers (HG:b) applied for the first time suggest connections are sharpening her up following runs of 3 and 8 — those finishes were at a higher level and the headgear switch combined with the class drop reads as a clear winning move. Tom Marquand (16%, 2549 runners) is a reliable booking for a yard going for the race. Each-way alternative: Moontune. Main danger: Endless Quest — A John & Thady Gosden debutante at even money commands market respect — the yard's 24% strike rate means well-backed first-timers from this stable frequently hit the frame, and if Evening Call's blinker application signals a temperament issue the Gosden filly could exploit an inexperienced winner.
Full result
Winner: Endless Quest (IRE) at SP 4/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Endless Quest Fox #3 4/6
-
2
Moontune Fox #2 13/2
-
3
Evening Call Fox #1 11/4
-
4
Fourneville 12/1
-
5
Tilsworth Emma 150/1
-
—
Espressona Signora 40/1
-
—
Certainty 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Evening Call 5/2 🥉 3RD
-
2
Moontune 4/1 🥈 2ND
-
3
Endless Quest evn SP 4/9F 🏆 WON