← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Killarney Student Raceday Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Big Bill
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Big Bill (SR:59, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in this field and carries a manageable 10-2, which is not punishing in a race where the top SR runners are clustered tightly. His recent form shows a win last time out (form reads 760-51, rightmost=1) and he is only 4 days off that run, suggesting connections are striking while the iron is hot. Crucially, the market has shortened 8% since opening — money is coming for him — and trainer Aidan Melia's 15% strike rate is the best in this field by some margin. GoingFit is listed as unknown (?) rather than proven negative, which at least does not flag a confirmed going problem, unlike most rivals who carry a clear GoingFit:- flag on today's Good ground. Each-way alternative: Nibras Rainbow. Main danger: Nibras Rainbow — Nibras Rainbow (SR:56, 6/1) has steamed in 11% in the market, holds two wins and two places at Killarney (Course:W2P2 — the best course record in the field), and while carrying a MarkMv:+6 flag, the strong course affinity and market confidence make it the most credible threat to Big Bill.
Full result
Winner: Jasmine Affanalis (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jasmine Affanalis Fox #4 15/2
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2
Nibras Rainbow Fox #2 6/1
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3
Oppenheimer 14/1
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4
One Cool County 40/1
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5
Draiocht 7/1
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6
Big Bill Fox #1 7/2
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7
Micasso 9/1
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8
Rampage 6/1
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9
Tickle The Cat 28/1
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10
Sayonara 14/1
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11
My Mate Tony 50/1
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12
Concaire 5/1
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13
Ochtar Againn 12/1
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14
Racing Royalty 20/1
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15
Lily's Magic 40/1
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—
Mags 50/1
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Steppinoncats 40/1
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Cisterna Fox #3 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Big Bill 4/1 6TH
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2
Nibras Rainbow 6/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Cisterna 11/1
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4
Jasmine Affanalis 9/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON