Spin Southwest Maiden

17:05 Killarney Mon 05 Oct 2026 1m3f50y Good 10 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Ballybawn Belter

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 4/1 Est. 28%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Ballybawn Belter carries the highest SR in the field at 152 — a clear 9-point edge over the next-best Navy Guitar (SR:143) — and is 5lb lighter than Navy Guitar at 9-4, compounding the advantage. The form reads 26 which, while not spectacular, shows consistent participation at a level well above this maiden grade. Seamie Heffernan's booking is a notable positive signal in a field where most jockeys carry modest career strike rates; he brings meaningful race-reading ability that matters over 1m3f50y. The GoingFit:- is a concern and the 8% drift is noted, but no rival combines an SR remotely close with credible jockey booking and trainer support at this distance. Each-way alternative: Navy Guitar. Main danger: Footstepstoglory — Footstepstoglory (SR:137) ran just yesterday — Days:1 is an unusual pattern that occasionally signals a yard exploiting a specific opportunity — and a 7% market move inward is the only steamer in the field, suggesting informed money despite the recency of its last run.

Verify· #21676

Full result

Winner: Ballybawn Belter (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Ballybawn Belter Fox #1 Liz Doyle · Seamie Heffernan 7/2
2 Joe Cool Noel Meade · Adam Caffrey 5/2
3 Blue Nasturtium K J Condon · W. J. Lee 7/2
4 Navy Guitar Fox #2 Diego Dias · Diego Lima 9/1
5 Shemiyka Fox #4 M D O'Callaghan · Jamie Powell 11/4
6 Tears I Nevercried M A Cahill · Alan Persse(5) 50/1
7 Nogs M J Byrne · Killian Leonard 50/1
— Footstepstoglory Fox #3 David Harry Kelly · G. F. Carroll -
— Guitar Star R P Cody · J M Sheridan 22/1
— Enchanted Lady A Oliver · Ben Coen 10/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Ballybawn Belter 10/3 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
2 Navy Guitar 17/2 🏁 4TH
3 Footstepstoglory 18/1
4 Shemiyka 5/1 5TH