← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Cayman Tai
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 7/2J Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Cayman Tai (SR:71, 10/3) is the second-highest SR in the field and has steamed in 23% in the market — the clearest money signal on the card. Richard Hannon's yard runs at 12% strike rate with 2,894 career runners, giving confidence in the booking, and the 12-day turnaround suggests a horse in good condition and ready to go. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ mean no red flags on today's 5f60y trip on good ground, unlike several rivals who post GoingFit:- flags, and MarkMv:-1 means the horse is running off a slightly eased mark relative to its last win — a marginal but real edge. The recent form string 578483 is modest, but the class-level (Class 5, same as last run) and the sharp market move are the decisive factors here. Each-way alternative: Diomed Spirit. Main danger: Diomed Spirit — Diomed Spirit (SR:76, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-2 (lighter than the market favourite), has Course:W2P3 — a genuine Brighton specialist — and a red-hot recent form string of 362121, with two wins in its last three runs; the only concern is MarkMv:+4 running off a higher mark and a 6% drift, but the course record and raw SR make it the most dangerous runner to Cayman Tai.
Full result
Winner: Cayman Tai (IRE) at SP 7/2J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cayman Tai Fox #1 7/2
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2
Zoustar Dreams Fox #3 7/1
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3
Alkuwarrior 11/1
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4
Diomed Spirit Fox #2 10/3
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5
Duskaura 14/1
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6
Roman Spring Fox #4 4/1
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7
Dontspoilasale 14/1
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8
Secret Handsheikh 12/1
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9
Sandscreendeliverd 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4