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Mr Fox’s call
Popular Dream
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 11/8F Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Popular Dream (SR:63, 15/8) is the clear SR leader in this weak Class 6 field and holds exceptional course form of W4P9 at Southwell — a genuine course specialist on this all-weather track. The mark has dropped 8lb since last win (MarkMv:-8), representing a significant handicapper concession, and the market has continued to shorten (Mkt:in11%) despite a quick turnaround of just 3 days. Both DistFit and GoingFit show minus flags, which is a genuine concern, but the course form W4P9 overrides generic distance/going stats — this horse simply knows Southwell. Trainer Derek Shaw's 7% strike rate is modest but Joanna Mason (12%, 1712 runners) is an experienced claimer booking that adds confidence. Each-way alternative: Khabib. Main danger: Khabib — Khabib (SR:59, 11/4) carries the second-best SR in the field, boasts solid course form of W2P6 at Southwell, and has had its mark slashed by 22lb (MarkMv:-22) — the most aggressive handicapper reduction in the race — giving it a live chance to outperform Popular Dream if the drop in class finally unlocks its ability.
Full result
Winner: Popular Dream (GB) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Popular Dream Fox #1 6/4
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2
Crypto Quest 33/1
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3
Kohana Girl 20/1
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4
Jungle Dance 12/1
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5
Age of Time Fox #3 7/1
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6
Khabib Fox #2 11/4
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7
Bishop's Glory 33/1
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8
Hellcat 11/1
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9
Tommie's Angel 8/1
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10
Lochaber 80/1
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11
Poetic Jack 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Popular Dream 15/8 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Khabib 11/4 6TH
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3
Age of Time 7/1 5TH