← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Guinness Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Isdistheone
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Isdistheone (SR:94, 5/2) shares the top SR in the field but carries the lightest weight at 10-0, giving her a meaningful pounds advantage over Fire Coral and Grace Faraday (both 10-13) despite identical ability ratings. The market has moved emphatically in her favour — shortening 28% since opening — which is the strongest market signal in this race and suggests connections are confident. Trainer Declan Queally runs at 18% strike rate (397 runners), a genuinely strong record, and jockey Kenneally at 10% reinforces the professional booking. The going and distance fitness flags are unknowns (both '?') rather than proven negatives, meaning there is no hard evidence against her at this trip or on good ground, and the headgear combination (ht) indicates connections are optimising her for today. Each-way alternative: Grace Faraday. Main danger: Grace Faraday — Grace Faraday (SR:92, 4/1) has a Course:W1P2 record at Galway and DistFit:+ at today's trip — the strongest course-and-distance profile in the field — and her last run was a win, making her the most consistent form reference despite the +8 mark rise.
Full result
Winner: Fire Coral (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fire Coral Fox #3 9/2
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2
Grace Faraday Fox #2 4/1
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3
Moonshine Girl 11/2
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4
Tir Og 8/1
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5
Isdistheone Fox #1 9/4
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6
She'll Be Kept 14/1
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7
Western Shores 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Isdistheone 5/2 5TH
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2
Grace Faraday 4/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Fire Coral 9/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON