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Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Queen of Scotland
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 7/4 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Queen of Scotland (SR:160, 11/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field by 4 points over Alpinara, and has shortened 19% in the market — the strongest steaming signal in the race. Her form of 2-1 shows a rapid improver landing a win last time out, and at 23 days since that run she arrives fresh and in form. Billy Loughnane's 18% career strike rate is excellent for a 3-year-old filly's novice, and George Boughey is a yard that targets these races with well-prepared horses. At 11/8, the market and the SR both point to the same horse — that convergence of signals is compelling. Each-way alternative: Marquetry. Main danger: Alpinara — Alpinara (SR:156, 7/4) is only 4 points behind Queen of Scotland on the SR scale, carries identical weight, is trained by the shrewd Sir Mark Prescott who rarely runs without a plan, and at 7/4 the market considers her the marginal favourite — if Prescott has timed this perfectly after 103 days off, she could very easily reverse the SR deficit.
Full result
Winner: Queen Of Scotland (GB) at SP 7/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Queen of Scotland Fox #1 6/4
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2
Yamnah Fox #4 9/2
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3
Marquetry Fox #3 10/1
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4
Saaffya 50/1
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5
Tralee Bay 125/1
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6
Alpinara Fox #2 11/8
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7
Hatta Romance 33/1
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8
Perzaaneh 250/1
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—
Baba Ganoush 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Queen of Scotland 11/8 SP 7/4 🏆 WON
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2
Alpinara 7/4 6TH
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3
Marquetry 15/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Yamnah 9/2 🥈 2ND