← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Kiniro
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 SP 6/5F Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Kiniro (SR:82, 13/8) leads the field on ability and carries a manageable 9-11 after dropping a class, with a mark identical to last win. The most compelling signal is the 23% market steam — Oisin Murphy, strike rate 21% from 2,747 career rides, is a booking that commands attention in a Class 5 AW sprint. Course:W0P4 shows Kempton familiarity without a win, but the step down in class and the weight (lightest among the SR leaders) points to today being the conversion. The form string 028379 looks patchy at surface level but the class drop contextualises the weak finishes; the market's confidence in the combination of Murphy + class relief is the deciding factor. Each-way alternative: Madman. Main danger: Madman — Madman (SR:86, 6/1) is actually the highest-rated horse in the field, has won at Kempton (Course:W1P1), and his last four runs read 1-1-3-1 — a horse in excellent form — with the only concern being a 5lb rise in mark and a slight drift in market.
Full result
Winner: Kiniro (GB) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kiniro Fox #1 6/5
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2
Blue Orbit 10/1
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3
Goldwork Fox #4 5/1
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4
Liosa 12/1
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5
Up The Agenda 33/1
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6
Charlie Boyo 12/1
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7
An Outlaw's Grace 28/1
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8
Madman Fox #2 9/1
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9
Calling A Star 28/1
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10
Perfect Location 40/1
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11
King of Chaos Fox #3 13/2
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—
Elvetham 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kiniro 13/8 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Madman 6/1 8TH
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3
King of Chaos 5/1 11TH
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4
Goldwork 4/1 🥉 3RD