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Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Castlerock Girl
MEDIUM Advised 6/5 SP 2/1 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Castlerock Girl (SR 157, 6/5) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — her SR is 5 points ahead of the next-best Venetian Storm and 8 points clear of Spell Catcher. Crucially, she already has racecourse experience, recording a second on debut just 13 days ago at ClassMv:= level, meaning she arrives with fitness, confidence, and the physical blueprint of a horse improving sharply into her second start. Trainer Clive Cox (17% strike rate from 1,102 runners) is a proven developer of precocious 2-year-old fillies, and Rossa Ryan (18% strike rate, 2,927 rides) is an experienced booking that signals connections are serious. The even-money price reflects genuine confidence, not just field scarcity — this filly has already shown she belongs and is stepping forward. Each-way alternative: Venetian Storm. Main danger: Venetian Storm — Venetian Storm (SR 152, 10/3) is unraced but carries the second-highest SR in the field and Ed Walker is a 16% trainer who invests in well-prepared debut runners — the 8% market drift is a minor concern but her raw ability figure alone makes her the biggest threat to Castlerock Girl.
Full result
Winner: Castlerock Girl (IRE) at SP 2/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Castlerock Girl Fox #1 13/8
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2
Californian Angel 4/1
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3
Cartography 28/1
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4
Spell Catcher Fox #3 9/1
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5
Waterside Blue 16/1
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6
Cuban Promise 200/1
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7
Hosta 100/1
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8
Venetian Storm Fox #2 13/8
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3