← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Jodie Standings Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Lady Kara
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Lady Kara (SR:109, 15/8) carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-2 — a clear 12lb advantage over top-weight Jet of Dreams — and her form string '11U442' shows back-to-back wins before the unseating incident, suggesting the ability is there. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles today's trip and good ground, and trainer Dr Richard Newland operates at a strong 20% career strike rate, the best of any yard in this field. The 8-day turnaround is not a concern given the trainer's confidence in running her so quickly, and at 15/8 the market makes her favourite despite the short price reflecting genuine form credentials rather than hype. Each-way alternative: Kientzheim. Main danger: Kientzheim — Kientzheim (SR:115, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed 39% in the market — significant money has come for it — and at 11-12 it carries a workable weight; the GoingFit:- is the primary concern but market confidence of this magnitude in a four-runner field deserves serious respect.
Full result
Winner: Jet Of Dreams (IRE) at SP 7/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jet of Dreams Fox #3 2/1
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2
Lady Kara Fox #1 7/4
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3
Neigh Botha 11/2
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4
Kientzheim Fox #2 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3