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Mr Fox’s call
King Roly
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 SP 11/8F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
King Roly (SR:129, 7/4) is the standout on every meaningful axis. The SR of 129 leads the field by 8 points over the next-best Snipe, and the weight of 11-9 is manageable — 5lb less than Dartan's crushing 12-0. Crucially, King Roly has an outstanding course record (W2P2 at Worcester), is proven at this distance (DistFit:+) and on this going (GoingFit:+), and arrives just 37 days fresh off a last-run '2' — consistent form at the right class level (ClassMv:=). The market has nudged in 5% since opening, confirming quiet confidence from connections, and the Mickey Bowen/James Bowen yard at 16%/20% strike rates is a competent, focused operation for a race like this. Each-way alternative: Karnaval Point. Main danger: Karnaval Point — Karnaval Point (SR:119, 4/1) has steamed in 54% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — holds course form (W1P1 at Worcester), and a class drop (ClassMv:↓1) plus GoingFit:+ means connections clearly believe conditions suit, even if the DistFit:- flag and a recent form string of '356' demand some respect from the selection.
Full result
Winner: King Roly (GB) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
King Roly Fox #1 13/8
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2
Karnaval Point Fox #3 4/1
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3
Snipe Fox #2 5/1
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4
Badbury Rings 8/1
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5
Awaythelad 4/1
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Dartan 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3