← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Outcider Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Blufferonthebus
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Blufferonthebus (SR:63, 11/2) is joint-top rated in the field and is the standout case on multi-signal alignment: GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability in heavy conditions — the single most important factor on a saturated Ayr track — and the market has steamed in 19% since opening, suggesting stable confidence. Carrying only 9-10 (lighter than the two top-weights above 9-11), he drops slightly in class (ClassMv:=) and is marginally better off at the weights than joint-SR equal Keats House (also 63 but on blinkers first-time at a new course). Jockey Sam James posts a 14% career strike rate across 1,274 rides — reliable professionalism at this level. The recent form 329372 shows consistent competitiveness without a big win, but the going today (heavy) is precisely where this horse has been proven, and the class drop combined with a -2 mark move gives a winnable scenario. Each-way alternative: Penelope's Sister. Main danger: Keats House — Keats House matches Blufferonthebus on SR:63, has also steamed in 20% in the market, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) with a -2 mark move, and jockey Billy Garritty is reliable at 11% — the blinkers application could unlock improvement if the class drop is the key.
Full result
Winner: Ey Up Its Jazz (GB) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ey Up Its Jazz Fox #4 9/1
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2
Keats House Fox #2 4/1
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3
Flying Moonlight 11/2
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4
Ravishing Beauty 12/1
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5
Penelope's Sister Fox #3 11/2
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6
Toralou 10/1
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7
Evelyn's Phoenix 14/1
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8
Hear The Drums 18/1
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9
Blufferonthebus Fox #1 11/2
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10
Rory's Gold 15/2
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11
Golden Caviar 33/1
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12
Gainsbourg 14/1
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13
Scheffler 50/1
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—
Myrrh SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Blufferonthebus 11/2 9TH
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2
Keats House 7/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Penelope's Sister 6/1 5TH
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4
Ey Up Its Jazz 9/1 SP 17/2 🏆 WON