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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)

18:00 Southwell (AW) Thu 08 Oct 2026 1m13y Class 6 Good 12 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Kaito silks

Kaito

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 35%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Kaito (SR:63, 7/4) is the class standout in this field and carries the highest Saturday Rating by a clear margin over the next-best pack of SR:55-60 horses. The decisive signal is the 36% market steam — money has piled in significantly, and George Boughey (18% strike rate, 1311 runners) is a high-volume yard that hits with fancied runners. Dropping three class tiers means this horse faces considerably weaker opposition than its previous runs, and while the form string 747 is unspectacular, the class descent explains it — Kaito was running in better races. Distance and going are unproven (DistFit:? / GoingFit:?) but at 1m on AW good, there is nothing in the profile to suggest an obvious incompatibility, and the weight of 9-9 is manageable for the SR carried. Each-way alternative: Arlecchino's Moon. Main danger: Arlecchino's Moon — Arlecchino's Moon (SR:54, 6/1) has steamed 42% in the market — the second-largest move in the field — Clifford Lee (17% strike rate) is a strong booking, and the class drop of two tiers gives it a genuine chance of outrunning its raw SR.

Full result

Winner: Arlecchino's Moon (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Arlecchino's Moon silks Arlecchino's Moon Fox #2 Mark Usher · Clifford Lee 13/2
  2. 2 Temple Court silks Temple Court Fox #4 Eve Johnson Houghton · Callum Hutchinson 13/2
  3. 3 Casablanca Dream silks Casablanca Dream Marco Botti · Marco Ghiani 13/2
  4. 4 Unbeatable Fame silks Unbeatable Fame Richard & Peter Fahey · Cam Hardie 66/1
  5. 5 Le Grand Etoile silks Le Grand Etoile Charlie Johnston · Sean Dylan Bowen 18/1
  6. 6 Kaito silks Kaito Fox #1 George Boughey · Jack Callan 6/5
  7. 7 Strong Performance silks Strong Performance William Knight · Cieren Fallon 10/1
  8. 8 Courage Best silks Courage Best Fox #3 Rod Millman · Darragh Keenan 17/2
  9. 9 Thunda Struck silks Thunda Struck David Loughnane · Silvestre De Sousa 11/1
  10. 10 Solar Mission silks Solar Mission Georgina Nicholls · William Cox 33/1
  11. 11 Purrista silks Purrista Gemma Tutty · Joanna Mason 100/1
  12. 12 Ubettanotblink silks Ubettanotblink Craig Lidster · Andrew Mullen 66/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Kaito silks Kaito 7/4 6TH
  2. 2 Arlecchino's Moon silks Arlecchino's Moon 6/1 SP 12/1 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Courage Best silks Courage Best 13/2 8TH
  4. 4 Temple Court silks Temple Court 13/2 🥈 2ND