← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Killinan Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Nermal
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Nermal (SR:87, 4/1, 9-3) carries the lightest weight among the top-rated horses and has the strongest going credentials in this field — GoingFit:+ on good ground, which directly matches today's conditions at Thurles. The market has steamed in dramatically (Mkt:in32%), the biggest move in the race, signalling informed support from connections. While the MarkMv:+6 means the handicapper has reassessed upward, the weight advantage over The Austrian (10-0, SR:88) and Nermal's proven ability on this going more than compensates. The 54-day layoff is the one concern, but the aggressive market move suggests connections are satisfied with the horse's readiness. Each-way alternative: The Austrian. Main danger: The Austrian — The Austrian (SR:88, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries Seamie Heffernan — a clear signal as Harrington's number-one jockey booking — and a last-run win in Form:721 makes the recency of form compelling, even if the significant drift (Mkt:out29%) and unknown distance and going fitness introduce meaningful doubt.
Full result
Winner: The Austrian (IRE) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
The Austrian Fox #2 15/8
-
2
Pierre Grosse 9/1
-
3
Nermal Fox #1 7/2
-
4
Cladach Fox #3 2/1
-
5
Vantage Code 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Nermal 4/1 🥉 3RD
-
2
The Austrian 2/1 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
-
3
Cladach 7/4 🏁 4TH