← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tramore Racecourse On Instagram Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Jacko Star
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Jacko Star (SR:94, 7/2, 11-12) carries top weight but is the joint-SR leader and has steamed in 16% in the market — the money is clearly talking. The 246-day absence is a concern, but the Mkt:in16% signal suggests connections are confident the horse is fit and ready. Keith Donoghue (13% strike rate, 1313 runners) is a reliable booking, and J P Dempsey at 11% is a workmanlike handler for this level. Crucially, while DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), that cuts both ways — no proven negatives — and the SR edge over the field (tied at 95 with Way Down South but 5lb lighter than Way Down South effectively through the weights differential) combined with strong market support makes this the most credible winner. Each-way alternative: Way Down South. Main danger: Way Down South — Way Down South (SR:95, 5/2) has steamed in a massive 29% in the market, carries 7lb less than Jacko Star, and ran just 17 days ago — pipe-hot fitness — making it the most dangerous rival despite the GoingFit:- flag.
Full result
Winner: Way Down South (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Way Down South Fox #2 5/2
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2
Ray Gun 5/1
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3
Lost Features 20/1
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4
Brave Josee Fox #3 5/2
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5
That's About Right 10/1
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6
Kayla's Friend Fox #4 20/1
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Jacko Star Fox #1 3/1
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Nirisque -
Top 4 — how each finished
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4