← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Long Goodbye
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 SP 85/40F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Long Goodbye (SR 108) is a clear ability standout in this field, sitting 15 points clear of the next-best Colossal Impact (SR 93) on the Saturday Rating scale — a meaningful edge in a modest bumper-style contest. The form string of 224 shows consistent placing without winning, suggesting a horse that competes at the top end of its field reliably, and at 7/2 the market respects this without making it prohibitively short. Trainer Liz Doyle's 7% strike rate is modest but the horse's SR superiority is the dominant signal here. Every runner shows DistFit:? and GoingFit:? across the board, so no rival has a proven edge on those axes to counter Long Goodbye's raw class advantage. Each-way alternative: Colossal Impact. Main danger: Cloudy Rosie — Cloudy Rosie (SR 83) carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-7, has steamed 10% in the market, and the tongue-tie addition suggests connections believe they have unlocked something new — a combination of market confidence and weight advantage that could offset the SR deficit at a big price of 17/2.
Full result
Winner: Long Goodbye (FR) at SP 85/40F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Long Goodbye Fox #1 7/2
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2
River Cartwright 12/1
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3
Cloudy Rosie Fox #3 8/1
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4
Colossal Impact Fox #2 2/1
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5
Josh's Jury 7/2
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6
Old Court 12/1
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7
Touch Of Life 15/2
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8
Sea Swirl 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Long Goodbye 7/2 SP 85/40F 🏆 WON
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2
Colossal Impact 2/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Cloudy Rosie 17/2 🥉 3RD