← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Le Beau Madrik
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Le Beau Madrik (SR:133, 4/1) is Dan Skelton's clear #1 runner here — he carries Harry Skelton in the saddle (26% career strike rate, 1,658 runners), a deliberate and telling booking over yard companions ridden by Andrews and Atkins. The market has firmed 14% since opening, confirming money is arriving. At 5 years old with a form line of 211P1, this horse has won twice from his last four completions and has shown progressive ability; the single 'P' is explicable and followed immediately by a win. Carrying 11-5 gives him a 10lb pull on top-weight Laafi (SR:135) and a 2lb edge over Captain Hugo (SR:136), meaning his SR deficit to those rivals is more than offset by weight — Harry Skelton's 26% strike rate on a yard hotpot at a competitive price is a strong combination in a Class 2 limited handicap. Each-way alternative: Pioneer Pete. Main danger: Captain Hugo — Captain Hugo (SR:136, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner on a confirmed good-to-soft going preference (GoingFit:+) with a DistFit:+ at this trip, and while the 14% market drift is a concern, his raw SR edge over Le Beau Madrik and proven course-condition fitness make him the most dangerous rival.
Full result
Winner: Pioneer Pete (GB) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Pioneer Pete Fox #3 7/2
-
2
Morning Mayhem 16/1
-
3
Tennessee Tango 18/1
-
4
Sageborough 40/1
-
5
Laafi Fox #4 16/1
-
6
Captain Hugo Fox #2 11/2
-
7
Gibbs Island 7/1
-
8
Filibustering 20/1
-
9
Le Beau Madrik Fox #1 4/1
-
10
Hamlet's Night 18/1
-
11
Knickerbockerglory 25/1
-
12
Kateira 40/1
-
13
Listentoyourheart 80/1
-
14
Sony Bill 66/1
-
15
Queenie St Clair 40/1
-
16
Serious Challenge 22/1
-
—
Doctor Blue 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Le Beau Madrik 4/1 9TH
-
2
Captain Hugo 9/2 6TH
-
3
Pioneer Pete 7/1 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
-
4
Laafi 12/1 5TH