← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Kapitein Kool
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Kapitein Kool (SR:114, 8/1) is the standout on multiple converging signals. A Mkt:in49% steam is the strongest market move in the field by a considerable margin — the money is clearly very confident — and this is backed by a class drop of two tiers (ClassMv:↓2) which puts him comfortably ahead on paper over these rivals. His mark has also dropped 2lb below his last win (MarkMv:-2), giving connections a live handicapping angle. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good-to-soft conditions, and at 11-10 he carries a favourable weight relative to the top-weights at 12-2. The 22170 form shows a recent win and the '0' last time is explained by a likely bad run at a higher class before this drop; the overall profile screams of a horse being set up for a target. Each-way alternative: Marlacoo. Main danger: Marlacoo — Marlacoo (SR:115, 7/2, Mkt:in30%) carries the highest SR in the field, is the market favourite, has steamed 30% since opening, and gets weight from Kapitein Kool at 11-5 — a potent combination that makes him the obvious danger if the money is right.
Full result
Winner: Codetalker (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Codetalker 17/2
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2
Religous Cross 17/2
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3
Kapitein Kool Fox #1 15/2
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4
Calme Olympien 22/1
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5
Marlacoo Fox #2 7/2
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6
Fasol Fox #4 15/2
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7
Step Ahead 11/2
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8
Guchen 12/1
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9
Top Coeur 66/1
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10
Poet Laureate Fox #3 6/1
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11
Guardami Ancora 28/1
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12
Pepe Le Moko 22/1
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13
Mostly Sunny 12/1
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14
Beau Quali 18/1
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—
Way Out 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kapitein Kool 8/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Marlacoo 7/2 5TH
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3
Poet Laureate 7/1 10TH
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4
Fasol 6/1 6TH