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Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
El Presidente
MEDIUM Advised 6/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
El Presidente carries the highest SR in the field at 156 — a 8-point advantage over the next-best contenders Beaujon and Thornthwaite (both SR 148) — and the market has hammered him into 6/4 from what was a significantly longer price (Mkt:in49%), the strongest market move in the field. Billy Loughnane, a high-strike-rate jockey at 18% from 3,121 runners, takes the ride for the in-form Gary & Josh Moore yard. His sole career run produced a fourth, which in a novice context from a yard that clearly thinks enough of him to return after 123 days off and target this specific race, reads as a horse who needed his debut and is expected to improve sharply. The combination of field-leading SR, the biggest inward market drift in the race, and a top jockey booking makes this a compelling single. Each-way alternative: Beaujon. Main danger: Beaujon — Beaujon shares the joint-second SR of 148, is unraced (fresh and potentially well-above-average), and has steamed in the market by 38% to 7/1, suggesting Brian Meehan's yard holds him in genuine regard for this debut.
Full result
Winner: Thornthwaite (GB) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Thornthwaite Fox #3 7/1
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2
El Presidente Fox #1 1/1
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3
Beaujon Fox #2 17/2
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4
Nascondino Fox #4 12/1
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5
Kinetic Impact 5/2
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6
Virtue King 16/1
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7
Opal Rose 50/1
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8
Screen Actor 125/1
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9
Heart Throb 50/1
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10
Garth Spirit 125/1
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Sin City -
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Assiri Heights -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4