← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill Gold Weekend Autumn Mile Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Beagle Bay
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Beagle Bay (SR 105, 11/8) is the clear class standout in this field — the next-best SR is Spoken Truth at 94, a 11-point gap that is decisive at this level. Carrying 9-8 after dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), the weight is workable and proven distance and going credentials (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+) mean conditions are ideal. The 12% market support (Mkt:in12%) confirms professional confidence despite 118 days off, and Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate, 1713 runners) is a trainer who targets big-field handicaps with freshened horses. The recent form of 2-1411 shows progressive, consistent winning form at this class, with the class drop providing an additional edge over rivals struggling to match the SR benchmark. Each-way alternative: Spoken Truth. Main danger: Spoken Truth — Spoken Truth (SR 94, 7/1) is O'Meara's yard pick over Mirsky (confirmed by Daniel Tudhope booking vs Mark Winn), drops a class, has a positive going record (GoingFit:+), and recent form of 264313 shows consistency at a mark only 5lb above his last win — he is the most credible threat to Beagle Bay at a realistic price.
Full result
Winner: Mr Swivell (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mr Swivell Fox #4 14/1
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2
Final Night 33/1
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3
Inspired Fox #3 11/1
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4
Spoken Truth Fox #2 13/2
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5
Beagle Bay Fox #1 11/8
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6
Power Fizz 12/1
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7
Salam Dubawi 15/2
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8
Northern Express 18/1
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9
Henlein 14/1
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10
Glenfinnan 80/1
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11
Nizam 50/1
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12
Khafiz 40/1
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13
Military Leader 40/1
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14
Mirsky 25/1
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15
Point of Contact 8/1
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16
Nikovo 40/1
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17
Ozat 12/1
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—
Empire of Light 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Beagle Bay 11/8 5TH
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2
Spoken Truth 7/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Inspired 11/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Mr Swivell 16/1 SP 9/1 🏆 WON