← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Fuusland
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Fuusland (SR 148, 11/4) represents the second-highest SR in the field but crucially is trained by Gordon Elliott (18% career strike rate, 4054 runners) and ridden by Jack Kennedy (22% career strike rate) — the most powerful connections by a considerable margin. The 15% market shortening is a clear signal that informed money has arrived. While GoingFit:- is a concern, the form of U45 shows a horse that has at least competed in hurdle races, and the weight advantage over Little Ginger (11-4 vs 11-12, an 8lb pull) is decisive. Elliott and Kennedy do not turn up at a €9,600 maiden hurdle at Downpatrick without a plan, and the market is endorsing that strongly. Each-way alternative: Young Doran. Main danger: Young Doran — Young Doran has the highest SR in the field at 152 with proven GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and while the 17% market drift is a concern, a 7lb amateur claim on 11-4 and cheekpieces fitted for the first time could sharpen a horse whose form of 239 shows scope for improvement.
Full result
Winner: Little Ginger (IRE) at SP 4/7F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Little Ginger Fox #3 10/11
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2
Fuusland Fox #1 9/4
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3
Spill A Drop 50/1
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4
Young Doran Fox #2 3/1
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5
Poet's Creek 66/1
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6
Grey Ace 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fuusland 11/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Young Doran 5/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Little Ginger evn SP 4/7F 🏆 WON