← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Astley
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Astley (SR:109, 4/1) leads the ability rankings and has steamed in 13% since opening, the clearest market confidence signal in the field. Jack Kennedy (22% strike rate, 1232 career rides) is a significant booking uplift over most rivals' jockeys and is not associated with also-rans at this level. The GoingFit:- is the one concern, but the market is clearly absorbing that negative and still shortening; Paul Traynor's 8% yard strike rate is modest but the money is driving this, not the trainer. Down Around (SR:108) is the nearest SR rival but has drifted 15% and carries blinkers, suggesting Elliott's team are not confident — that drift is a meaningful counter-signal that tips the balance firmly to Astley. Each-way alternative: Oh Janey. Main danger: Oh Janey — Oh Janey (SR:99, 7/1) has steamed in 27% — the largest market move in the race — holds course form (W1P1 at Downpatrick), carries a 7lb weight advantage over Astley at 11-5, and J J Slevin (13% strike rate) is a quality booking that amplifies the market confidence signal.
Full result
Winner: Iamagetaway (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Iamagetaway 4/1
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2
Rockstown Girl 11/1
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3
Oh Janey Fox #2 4/1
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4
Kalsman 16/1
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5
Ring Of Kerry Fox #4 4/1
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Astley Fox #1 4/1
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Down Around Fox #3 15/2
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Parkgarve 25/1
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River Tara 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Astley 4/1
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2
Oh Janey 7/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Down Around 7/2
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4
Ring Of Kerry 13/2 5TH