← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Nazario
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Nazario (SR:74, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 9-10, giving him a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Barbapapa (SR:73, 10-4) — 8lb lighter for essentially the same ability level. The market has moved emphatically in his favour, shortening 37% since opening, which is the most aggressive market move in the entire field and signals strong informed confidence. His GoingFit:+ confirms he handles this good AW surface well, and trainer J.P. Murtagh (11% strike rate) booking Ben Coen (11% strike rate) is a strong connections pairing. His form of -44748 shows consistency without a win recently, but the class, weight, and market signals all converge here. Each-way alternative: Barbapapa. Main danger: Barbapapa — Barbapapa (SR:73) matches Nazario on ability, has a course record of W3P6 at Dundalk which is the best course form in the field, and has shortened 16% in the market — the weight burden at 10-4 is the only real concern, but his Dundalk specialisation could overcome it.
Full result
Winner: In A Hurry (GB) at SP 28/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
In A Hurry Fox #4 9/1
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2
Rappell Fox #3 7/1
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3
Mickey The Steel 17/2
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4
Iff In Doubt 15/2
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5
Leveraging 20/1
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6
Hastily 33/1
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7
Nazario Fox #1 7/2
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8
Lahore Da King 9/1
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9
Beat The Devil 10/1
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10
Jess Abi 18/1
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11
Barbapapa Fox #2 7/2
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12
Battle Borne 40/1
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13
Elusive Duke 12/1
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14
Glendower 33/1
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—
Evangelic 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Nazario 7/2 7TH
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2
Barbapapa 10/3 11TH
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3
Rappell 13/2 🥈 2ND
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4
In A Hurry 11/1 SP 28/1 🏆 WON