BAR 1 Betting 'First For Football' Handicap

19:00 Dundalk (AW) Fri 09 Oct 2026 1m Good 17 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Ohailbhic

SPECULATIVE Advised 17/2 Est. 22%

7TH

Mr Fox says

Ohailbhic (SR:82, 17/2) is the standout market mover in this 17-runner handicap, having been backed in by a striking 37% since opening — the single largest move in the field — and this money appears well-founded. The form string 831176 shows a last-time-out sixth but crucially the prior run was a win (form reads right-to-left, so the '6' is most recent but '1' preceded it), and the horse has a strong Dundalk course record of W3P4 from previous visits, making it a proven course specialist. It carries a light 9-1 for a 5-year-old in the competitive SR range at 82, giving it a weight edge over Hellorhighwater (9-11) and Naoi (9-3) while matching Daler (9-6). The MarkMv:+4 is manageable, and the trainer John James Feane at 10% strike rate is not glamorous but the decisive market support overrides that concern. Each-way alternative: Hellorhighwater. Main danger: Hellorhighwater — Hellorhighwater (SR:90 — the highest in the field, 6/1) is ridden by Ben Coen, has DistFit:+ at this trip, a recent form line of 221-10 showing consistent placed form, and has shortened 7% in the market — if the stronger ability level translates on this AW surface, it wins.

Verify· #22490

Full result

Winner: Hellorhighwater (GB) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.