← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Potters Prince
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Potters Prince (SR:62, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 1m13y trip, giving him a meaningful edge in a race where 12 of 14 rivals show DistFit:-. The market has reacted decisively — a 31% inward move to 4/1 from a trainer (Matt Crawley, 8%) whose strike rate alone doesn't inspire, meaning the money is talking louder than the yard's headline number. His form of 53452 shows consistent competitiveness at this level and his weight of 9-9 is manageable. The one concern is GoingFit:- on Good ground, but his SR advantage of 2-5 points over the next tier of contenders and his proven stamina at the trip should compensate. Each-way alternative: Beaming Light. Main danger: Beaming Light — Beaming Light (SR:57, 11/2) has shortened 13% in the market, carries a favourable MarkMv:-10, holds Course:W0P2 form at Southwell, and at 9-5 is 4lb lighter than Potters Prince — if the trip proves just beyond Potters Prince on Good going, Beaming Light's lighter weight and course familiarity make him the most dangerous alternative.
Full result
Winner: El Fox (GB) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
El Fox 10/1
-
2
Volenti 13/2
-
3
Blue Collar Lad 66/1
-
4
Mercurius Power 11/1
-
5
Borderline Madness 15/2
-
6
Potters Prince Fox #1 4/1
-
7
Cy Twombly 12/1
-
8
Little Ted 18/1
-
9
Dumfries Fox #4 8/1
-
10
Green Icon Fox #3 5/1
-
11
Ocean Force 5/1
-
12
Lightning Galaxy 28/1
-
—
Beaming Light Fox #2 11/2
-
—
Al Suil Eile 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Potters Prince 4/1 6TH
-
2
Beaming Light 11/2
-
3
Green Icon 5/1 10TH
-
4
Dumfries 13/2 9TH